Saturday, 31 October 2015 21:07 UTC
Sunspot region 2443 has come to life once more with many C-class solar flares right now and it even managed to produce an impulsive M1.0 (R1) solar flare at 17:52 UTC. This event did not launch a coronal mass ejection.
This video using SDO footage shows the M-class solar flare:
A quick look at this sunspot region shows that new flux has emerged in the intermediate layout of this sunspot region during the past 12 hours with a solid amount of magnetic mixing there as well. At least two delta sunspots can now be found there and more M-class (R1-R2) activity can be expected.
M-class flare probability for the coming 24 hours: 65% chance
X-class flare probability for the coming 24 hours: 10% chance
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