Official Solar Cycle 25 Forecast Update

Tuesday, 10 December 2019 18:50 UTC

Official Solar Cycle 25 Forecast Update

The NOAA/NASA Solar Cycle prediction panel has issued an official statement yesterday with news about the upcoming Solar Cycle 25.

The most notable bit of information is that we likely haven't passed solar minimum yet. The panel predicts solar minimum to occur in April, 2020 with an uncertainty range of +/- 6 months. The panel agreed that Cycle 25 will be average in intensity and similar to Cycle 24 with a peak in July, 2025 (+/- 8 months), with a smoothed sunspot number (SSN) of 115 which would make Solar Cycle 25 very similar to Solar Cycle 24.

Do you agree with the Solar Cycle prediction panel or are you hopeful that we have passed solar minimum already and are in for a very active Cycle 25? Let us know! Below you can find the official statement issued yesterday on the NOAA SWPC website:

The NOAA/NASA co-chaired, international panel to forecast Solar Cycle 25 released their latest forecast for Solar Cycle 25. The forecast consensus: a peak in July, 2025 (+/- 8 months), with a smoothed sunspot number (SSN) of 115. The panel agreed that Cycle 25 will be average in intensity and similar to Cycle 24.

Additionally, the panel concurred that solar minimum between Cycles 24 and 25 will occur in April, 2020 (+/- 6 months). If the solar minimum prediction is correct, this would make Solar Cycle 24 the 7th longest on record (11.4 years).

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Norilsk, Vorkuta

S1 - Minor solar radiation storm

Minor impacts on HF radio through polar regions

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