Viewing archive of Tuesday, 4 June 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 04 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 156 Issued at 2200Z on 04 JUN 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. NEW REGION 7969 (N09W33) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 05 JUN to 07 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       04 JUN  069
  Predicted   05 JUN-07 JUN  069/070/070
  90 Day Mean        04 JUN  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 JUN  004/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 JUN  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 JUN-07 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 JUN to 07 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 07:09 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK
Anchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (511.9 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.45nT), the direction is slightly South (-2.71nT).

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