Viewing archive of Monday, 1 July 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 01 JUL 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. TWO B-CLASS X-RAY BURSTS WERE NOTED. THE FIRST WAS A B4 WITH AN ASSOCIATED TYPE II SWEEP. THE LAST WAS A B1. REGION 7973 (N09W88) IS SLOWLY DECAYING AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB. REGION 7976 (N12W42) IS NOW SPOTLESS. A NEW PLAGE REGION, MODERATELY STRONG IN X-RAY IMAGES, IS NOW ROUNDING THE EAST LIMB NEAR S02. IT IS SPOTLESS SO FAR.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 02 JUL to 04 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 JUL  070
  Predicted   02 JUL-04 JUL  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        01 JUL  069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 30 JUN  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUL  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUL-04 JUL  010/005-005/005-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 JUL to 04 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 01:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Tórshavn
Reykjavik

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