Viewing archive of Friday, 7 June 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 07 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 159 Issued at 2200Z on 07 JUN 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7968
(N02W15), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK,
HAS GROWN SIGNIFICANTLY IN BOTH SIZE AND NUMBER OF SPOTS SINCE
YESTERDAY. THIS REGION HAS PRODUCED THREE B-CLASS FLARES IN THE
LAST 24 HOURS, ONE AT 0956Z OPTICALLY CORRELATED AS A SUB-
FLARE. THE LARGE TWELVE DEGREE FILAMENT LOCATED AT N06E24
INCREASED IN WIDTH, LENGTH, AND DENSITY SINCE YESTERDAY, BUT
REMAINS RELATIVELY MOTIONLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW, WITH A 60% CHANCE FOR A C-CLASS EVENT AND 10% CHANCE
OF AN M-CLASS EVENT GENERATED FROM REGION 7968 DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. YESTERDAY'S ISOLATED ACTIVE TO MINOR
STORM CONDITIONS IS BELIEVED TO BE THE RESULT OF A DISAPPEARING
FILAMENT EARLIER IN THE WEEK.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH
AND INCREASED CHANCE OF ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS FOR DAYS TWO
AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 08 JUN to 10 JUN
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 JUN 073 Predicted 08 JUN-10 JUN 072/072/070 90 Day Mean 07 JUN 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JUN 016/018 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JUN 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JUN-10 JUN 008/008-010/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 JUN to 10 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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