Viewing archive of Saturday, 8 June 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 08 JUN 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7968 (N03W29)
CONTINUES TO BE THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
THE REGION PRODUCED NO FLARES DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS WHILE
DEVELOPING INTO A 'DAO' GROUP WITH APPROXIMATELY 19 SPOTS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. REGION 7968 APPEARS TO HAVE STABILIZED AT THE
PRESENT TIME, BUT IS STILL THOUGHT TO HAVE A 50% CHANCE OF
PRODUCING A C-CLASS EVENT AND 10% CHANCE OF PRODUCING AN
M-CLASS EVENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED
ACTIVITY OCCURING AT ALL LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL
08/0900-1200.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS,
WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS
INCREASING ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 09 JUN to 11 JUN
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 JUN 070 Predicted 09 JUN-11 JUN 072/071/070 90 Day Mean 08 JUN 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUN 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUN 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUN-11 JUN 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 JUN to 11 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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