Viewing archive of Friday, 5 July 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 05 JUL 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. PREDOMINANTLY QUIET CONDITIONS WERE
INTERRUPTED BY A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS
FROM 05/0000-1200Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 06 JUL to 08 JUL
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 JUL 069 Predicted 06 JUL-08 JUL 070/070/068 90 Day Mean 05 JUL 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 JUL 013/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUL 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUL-08 JUL 010/006-005/006-005/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 JUL to 08 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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