Viewing archive of Tuesday, 18 June 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 18 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 170 Issued at 2200Z on 18 JUN 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE HIGHLIGHT OF AN OTHERWISE DULL DAY WAS THE EMERGENCE OF WHAT MAY BE ANOTHER NEW CYCLE SUNSPOT GROUP, 7972 (N28E24). THE LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET LEVELS THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 19 JUN to 21 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       18 JUN  068
  Predicted   19 JUN-21 JUN  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        18 JUN  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 17 JUN  011/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 JUN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 JUN-21 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 JUN to 21 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Vorkuta

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk, Norilsk
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-8.55nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-59nT)

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