Viewing archive of Saturday, 13 July 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 13 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 13 JUL 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7978 (S10W89), THE ONLY NUMBERED REGION, APPEARS TO BE TRANSITING THE WEST LIMB WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING MOSTLY QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 14 JUL to 16 JUL
Class M05%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       13 JUL  070
  Predicted   14 JUL-16 JUL  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        13 JUL  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 12 JUL  011/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUL  010/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUL-16 JUL  010/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 JUL to 16 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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