Viewing archive of Monday, 20 January 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 20 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 020 Issued at 2200Z on 20 JAN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A B4/SF FLARE WAS DETECTED IN REGION 8011 (S06W43). THIS REGION IS NOW SPOTLESS AND RELATIVELY STABLE, AS IS THE REMAINDER OF THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 21 JAN to 23 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       20 JAN 077
  Predicted   21 JAN-23 JAN  076/076/076
  90 Day Mean        20 JAN 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 JAN  006/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 JAN  005/004
PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 JAN-23 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 JAN to 23 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (14.52nT), the direction is North (0.5nT).

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