Viewing archive of Wednesday, 22 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 22 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 022 Issued at 2200Z on 22 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. SPACE IMAGERY SHOWED
A SMALL REGION NEAR SE10 THAT MAY PRESAGE THE APPEARANCE OF A SMALL
SPOTTED REGION NEAR THAT LATITUDE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE VERY
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED. SOME HIGH
LATITUDE SITES EXPERIENCED ISOLATED ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM
CONDITIONS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 23 JAN to 25 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 JAN 073 Predicted 23 JAN-25 JAN 073/073/073 90 Day Mean 22 JAN 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 JAN 010/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JAN 006/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JAN-25 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 JAN to 25 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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