Viewing archive of Friday, 14 February 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Feb 14 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 FEB 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS EXCEEDED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED FOR THE THIRD DAY.
III. Event Probabilities 15 FEB to 17 FEB
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 FEB 071
  Predicted   15 FEB-17 FEB  071/071/071
  90 Day Mean        14 FEB 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 FEB  007/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 FEB  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 FEB-17 FEB  005/007-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 FEB to 17 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%10%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%15%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%03%

All times in UTC

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