Viewing archive of Friday, 9 May 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 May 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 129 Issued at 2200Z on 09 MAY 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8038 (N21E20), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, IS CURRENTLY A STABLE FOUR SPOT 'CSO' BETA GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL 09/0600-0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 10 MAY to 12 MAY
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 MAY 072
  Predicted   10 MAY-12 MAY  073/073/074
  90 Day Mean        09 MAY 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 MAY  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 MAY  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 MAY-12 MAY  005/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 MAY to 12 MAY
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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