Viewing archive of Saturday, 10 May 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 May 10 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 130 Issued at 2200Z on 10 MAY 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8038 (N21E07) SHOWED SOME GROWTH DURING THE REPORTING PERIOD AND IS CURRENTLY A TWO SPOT 'HSX' ALPHA GROUP. REGION 8039 (N23W52) REGAINED IT'S ACTIVE STATUS AS A SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' ALPHA GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGENTIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 11 MAY to 13 MAY
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 MAY 072
  Predicted   11 MAY-13 MAY  073/074/074
  90 Day Mean        10 MAY 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 MAY  005/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 MAY  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 MAY-13 MAY  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 MAY to 13 MAY
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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