Viewing archive of Thursday, 8 January 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jan 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 008 Issued at 2200Z on 08 JAN 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED, AS THE VISIBLE DISK IS CURRENTLY VOID OF ACTIVE REGIONS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNEIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 09 JAN to 11 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 JAN 082
  Predicted   09 JAN-11 JAN  085/085/085
  90 Day Mean        08 JAN 095
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JAN  019/029
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JAN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JAN-11 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 JAN to 11 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Nuuk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (616.2 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.33nT), the direction is North (1.08nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-51nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M2.05

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