Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 September 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 251 Issued at 2200Z on 08 SEP 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 09 SEP to 11 SEP
| Class M | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 SEP 154 Predicted 09 SEP-11 SEP 150/145/140 90 Day Mean 08 SEP 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 SEP 005/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 SEP 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 SEP-11 SEP 005/009-005/009-005/009
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 SEP to 11 SEP
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Tórshavn
Oulu
Reykjavik
Kiruna, Luleå
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