Viewing archive of Thursday, 5 November 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 05 NOV 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 06 NOV to 08 NOV
| Class M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Class X | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Proton | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| PCAF | YELLOW | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 NOV 153 Predicted 06 NOV-08 NOV 155/150/150 90 Day Mean 05 NOV 132
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 NOV 004/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 NOV 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 NOV-08 NOV 015/012-015/024-030/032
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 NOV to 08 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 30% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 10% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NUNuuk
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