Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 December 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 337 Issued at 2200Z on 03 DEC 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 04 DEC to 06 DEC
| Class M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 DEC 153 Predicted 04 DEC-06 DEC 150/148/148 90 Day Mean 03 DEC 131
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 DEC 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 DEC 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 DEC-06 DEC 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 DEC to 06 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna, Luleå
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