Viewing archive of Tuesday, 7 March 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Mar 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 067 Issued at 2200Z on 07 MAR 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY INCREASED TO MODERATE LEVELS. AN M1/1F FLARE OCCURRED AT 07/1607UT FROM AN AS YET UNNUMBERED REGION ROTATING INTO VIEW NEAR SE22. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED M1 OCCURRED AT 07/1950UT. MINOR SPOT DEVELOPMENT WAS REPORTED WITHIN REGION 8900 (S16W26), WHICH CONTINUED TO DISPLAY A MIXED-POLARITY STRUCTURE. HOWEVER, THE REGION WAS STABLE DURING MOST OF THE PERIOD. THE REMAINING REGIONS WERE STABLE. NEW REGION 8903 WAS ASSIGNED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. ISOLATED LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
FIELD ACTIVITY RANGED FROM UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE AT MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS. HOWEVER, BRIEF ACTIVE PERIODS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THE PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 08 MAR to 10 MAR
Class M50%50%45%
Class X10%10%05%
Proton10%10%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 MAR 222
  Predicted   08 MAR-10 MAR  220/215/200
  90 Day Mean        07 MAR 172
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 MAR  008/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 MAR  015/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 MAR-10 MAR  008/010-010/010-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 MAR to 10 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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