Viewing archive of Thursday, 9 March 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Mar 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 069 Issued at 2200Z on 09 MAR 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY DECREASED TO LOW LEVELS. OCCASIONAL C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES OCCURRED, TWO OF WHICH WERE PRODUCED BY REGION 8906 (S16E55). THIS REGION MAY POSSESS A MIXED-POLARITY STRUCTURE, BUT LIMB PROXIMITY PREVENTED A DETAILED ANALYSIS. REGION 8900 (S15W51) SHOWED SIGNS OF DECAY. REGION 8898 (S13W20) SHOWED MINOR GROWTH. NEW REGION 8908 (S19E71) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8898, 8900, AND 8906.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
III. Event Probabilities 10 MAR to 12 MAR
Class M50%50%50%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 MAR 206
  Predicted   10 MAR-12 MAR  200/195/190
  90 Day Mean        09 MAR 173
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 MAR  009/013
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 MAR  003/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 MAR-12 MAR  008/008-008/008-008/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 MAR to 12 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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