Viewing archive of Tuesday, 5 June 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jun 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 156 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jun 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. Two M-class events occurred during the period. An M1/Sf from Region 9484 (S05W20) at 04/2259 UTC, and an M2/2n from Region 9488 (S20E33) at 05/0451 UTC. Region 9488 also produced an C9/Sn at 05/1421 UTC. Several CME's were noted by the LASCO instrument during the period, but none appear earth-directed. Region 9489 (N17E52) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible on the second and third day of the period due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jun to 08 Jun
Class M35%35%35%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 Jun 153
  Predicted   06 Jun-08 Jun  160/160/165
  90 Day Mean        05 Jun 168
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jun  004/011
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 05 Jun  008/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun  008/008-012/010-012/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jun to 08 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%25%25%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%30%30%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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