Viewing archive of Monday, 2 July 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jul 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred and all sunspot groups presently on the visible disk are small and magnetically simple. New Region 9528 (N04E59) was numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jul to 05 Jul
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Jul 134
  Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul  135/140/145
  90 Day Mean        02 Jul 164
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  008/012
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Jul  005/009
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  010/010-010/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul to 05 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Anchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (506.3 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.74nT), the direction is North (1.52nT).

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