Viewing archive of Sunday, 29 July 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jul 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 210 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jul 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several isolated, minor C-class events occurred during the period. The disk and limbs were mostly quiet and stable. Region 9560 (N18E46) was numbered today. Currently, there are only four spotted regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet to unsettled conditions. The greater than 2 MeV flux may reach moderate levels during the first half of the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
Class M15%15%15%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Jul 117
  Predicted   30 Jul-01 Aug  120/120/120
  90 Day Mean        29 Jul 152
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jul  002/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Jul  008/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug  008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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