Viewing archive of Wednesday, 21 September 2005
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 264 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Sep 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 22 Sep to 24 Sep
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Sep 086 Predicted 22 Sep-24 Sep 085/080/080 90 Day Mean 21 Sep 093
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Sep 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Sep 003/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 005/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Sep to 24 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ReykjavikCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu
Trondheim
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
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