Viewing archive of Tuesday, 3 January 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jan 03 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 003 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions
were stable or declining. Little of significance occurred.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to persist
at very low levels for the next three days.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at GOES was high.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet throughout the period.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jan to 06 Jan
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jan 085 Predicted 04 Jan-06 Jan 085/090/090 90 Day Mean 03 Jan 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan 003/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 005/003-005/003-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan to 06 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTFairbanks, AK
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