Viewing archive of Saturday, 24 June 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 24 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. An active area beyond the east limb (N09) produced several B-class flares today. The largest of these was a B3 flare at 24/1012Z. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low. There is a slight chance of an isolated C-class flare from the active area located beyond the east limb.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (25-27 June).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jun to 27 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Jun 074
  Predicted   25 Jun-27 Jun  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        24 Jun 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun  001/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  005/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun to 27 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm01%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm01%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Kirkenes
Murmansk, Norilsk, Vorkuta

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