Viewing archive of Thursday, 29 June 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 29 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 180 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jun 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Regions 897 (N06E15) and 898 (S05E54) have produced several B-class flares over the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed is slowly decreasing from a maximum of approximately 600 km/s to approximately 530 km/s at time of issue.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (30 June - 02 July).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jun to 02 Jul
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Jun 086
  Predicted   30 Jun-02 Jul  085/090/090
  90 Day Mean        29 Jun 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jun  012/018
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Jun  008/009
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul  005/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jun to 02 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%10%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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