Viewing archive of Saturday, 29 July 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jul 29 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 210 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jul 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 30 July. On 31 July through 01 August, a coronal hole high speed stream is expected to move into geoeffective position causing unsettled to active conditions with minor storm periods possible.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Jul 073
  Predicted   30 Jul-01 Aug  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        29 Jul 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jul  026/029
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Jul  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug  005/005-010/012-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%25%
Minor storm05%10%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%25%35%
Minor storm05%15%25%
Major-severe storm01%05%10%

All times in UTC

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