Viewing archive of Tuesday, 16 October 2007
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 289 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Oct 2007IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 17 Oct to 19 Oct
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Oct 067 Predicted 17 Oct-19 Oct 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 16 Oct 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Oct 001/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Oct 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Oct-19 Oct 008/010-008/010-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Oct to 19 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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