Viewing archive of Tuesday, 18 March 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Mar 18 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 078 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Mar 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. Region 986 (S04W84) has decayed to a spotless plage region.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (19 - 21 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled. There was a single active period from 0300-0600Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (19 - 21 March).
III. Event Probabilities 19 Mar to 21 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       18 Mar 070
  Predicted   19 Mar-21 Mar  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        18 Mar 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 17 Mar  003/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 18 Mar  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Mar to 21 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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