Viewing archive of Sunday, 30 March 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Mar 30 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 090 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions on the disk continue to be stable and are generally declining.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly very low. There is, however, a chance for an isolated C-class event during the next three days (31 March - 02 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled during the past 24 hours. There was one isolated active period from 0000-0300Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (31 March) and should be generally quiet for the second and third days (01-02 April).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Mar 081
  Predicted   31 Mar-02 Apr  080/080/075
  90 Day Mean        30 Mar 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar  006/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Mar  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm15%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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