Viewing archive of Tuesday, 10 June 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Jun 10 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jun 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred in the last 24 hours. New Region 998 (S09E52) was numbered today and is a simple B-type group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (11 - 13 June).
III. Event Probabilities 11 Jun to 13 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 Jun 066
  Predicted   11 Jun-13 Jun  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        10 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jun  002/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 10 Jun  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jun to 13 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 15:03 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Norilsk
The solar wind speed is currently high (827.3 km/sec.)

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