Viewing archive of Sunday, 27 July 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Jul 27 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 209 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jul 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during most of the period (28 - 30 July). However, there is a chance for unsettled levels early on 28 July.
III. Event Probabilities 28 Jul to 30 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       27 Jul 066
  Predicted   28 Jul-30 Jul  066/066/066
  90 Day Mean        27 Jul 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jul  004/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 27 Jul  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 28 Jul-30 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jul to 30 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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