Viewing archive of Sunday, 7 September 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Sep 07 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 251 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Sep 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE solar wind observations indicated Earth remained within a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Velocities ranged from 549 - 662 km/sec during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels through the period (08 - 10 September).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Sep to 10 Sep
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Sep 067
  Predicted   08 Sep-10 Sep  066/066/066
  90 Day Mean        07 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Sep  007/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Sep  005/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Sep to 10 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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