Viewing archive of Tuesday, 9 December 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Dec 09 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 344 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Dec 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Dec to 12 Dec
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 Dec 069
  Predicted   10 Dec-12 Dec  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        09 Dec 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 08 Dec  001/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 09 Dec  001/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Dec to 12 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%00%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%00%

All times in UTC

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