Viewing archive of Thursday, 26 March 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Mar 26 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 085 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Two B-class flares were observed: the first was a B1.8 at 26/0143Z from an unnumbered area (N23W12), the second was a B3.5 at 26/0216Z from beyond the east limb (based on Stereo B images).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (27 March). Days two and three (28-29 March) are expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Mar to 29 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Mar 069
  Predicted   27 Mar-29 Mar  070/072/072
  90 Day Mean        26 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar  007/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Mar  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar to 29 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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