Viewing archive of Saturday, 27 June 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jun 27 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 178 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jun 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active levels on day 1 (28 June) due to a favorably positioned coronal hole. Mostly quiet conditions are expected during days 2 - 3 (29 - 30 June).
III. Event Probabilities 28 Jun to 30 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       27 Jun 067
  Predicted   28 Jun-30 Jun  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        27 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jun  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 27 Jun  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun  008/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jun to 30 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%20%20%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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