Viewing archive of Friday, 24 July 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jul 24 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 205 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jul 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speeds observed from the ACE spacecraft are averaging around 550 km/s with minor IMF Bz fluctuations (+/-2nT).
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (25-27 July). Isolated unsettled conditions are expected for 26 July due to a recurrent high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jul to 27 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Jul 068
  Predicted   25 Jul-27 Jul  069/070/070
  90 Day Mean        24 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jul  008/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Jul  006/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul  005/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jul to 27 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%15%05%
Minor storm01%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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