Viewing archive of Tuesday, 2 March 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 02 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 061 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Old Region 1045 (N19,
L=251) is now visible on the northeast limb, however, no spots have
been reported at this time. This region produced a long-duration
B6.6 x-ray flare at 01/2226Z, associated with a CME from the east
limb. Region 1052(S17W40) and 1053 (S23W50) remain simple, quiet
sunspot groups.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar Activity is expected to remain
very low for the next 3 days (03-05 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next 3 days (03-05 March).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Mar to 05 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Mar 079 Predicted 03 Mar-05 Mar 080/080/082 90 Day Mean 02 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Mar 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar to 05 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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