Viewing archive of Tuesday, 1 June 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jun 01 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 152 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jun 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The SOHO C2 imagery observed a slow moving CME at 31/2154Z. The plane of sky speed was estimated around 307 km/s. This event was correlated with a disappearing filament located near N30W30. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. The ACE spacecraft observations show the continued presence of the coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds are around 525 km/s with IMF Bz at +/- 6 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions for the next two days (02-03 June). Predominantly quiet levels are expected for day three (04 June) as the high speed stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jun to 04 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Jun 073
  Predicted   02 Jun-04 Jun  072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        01 Jun 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 31 May  014/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Jun  010/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun  008/010-006/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jun to 04 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%15%10%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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