Viewing archive of Monday, 22 November 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Nov 22 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 326 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Nov 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1126 (S32W56) continues to decay slowly. Region 1127 (N25W08) was stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (23-25 November).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (23-25 November).
III. Event Probabilities 23 Nov to 25 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       22 Nov 075
  Predicted   23 Nov-25 Nov  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        22 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 21 Nov  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 22 Nov  004/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov to 25 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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