Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 January 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jan 10 1313 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Jan 2013 until 12 Jan 2013
Solar flares

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Jan 2013168002
11 Jan 2013172001
12 Jan 2013174005

Bulletin

We expect solar activity to rise from eruptive to active levels with M class flares likely from NOAA AR 1654, and C class flares possible from NOAA ARs 1650 and 1652. Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet and are expected to remain so for the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 102, based on 05 stations.

Solar indices for 9 Jan 2013

Wolf number Catania195
10cm solar flux169
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number107 - Based on 04 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.61nT).
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C6.12

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

Donate SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Sunday, 13 April 2025
22:21 UTC - Solar flare

Moderate M1.66 flare from sunspot region 4055

alert


22:03 UTC - Radio Blackout

Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.01)


20:48 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:39 UTC


19:09 UTC - Solar flare

Moderate M3.24 flare from sunspot region 4055

alert


18:51 UTC - Radio Blackout

Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.07)


Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/03/28X1.1
Last M-flare2025/04/13M1.6
Last geomagnetic storm2025/04/06Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
March 2025134.2 -20.4
April 2025136.4 +2.2
Last 30 days134.2 -8.9

This day in history*

Solar flares
12024M4.3
22002M2.07
32023M1.5
42001M1.47
52002M1.38
DstG
11973-134G4
21981-129G1
31971-121G4
41961-118G3
51990-104G2
*since 1994

Social networks