Viewing archive of Tuesday, 12 February 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Feb 12 1236 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Feb 2013 until 14 Feb 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Feb 2013105008
13 Feb 2013105011
14 Feb 2013102001

Bulletin

We expect quiet conditions to prevail for the solar activity, with a small risk of an isolated C flare from NOAA AR 1670. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled any time now as the southern flank of the CME of Feb. 9 arrives at Earth later today. Geomagnetic conditions should be back to quiet levels by the second half of Feb. 13.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 045, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Feb 2013

Wolf number Catania084
10cm solar flux105
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number038 - Based on 12 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

Donate SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

20:45 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC


01:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC

alert


Wednesday, 9 April 2025
08:12 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC


02:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC

alert


Tuesday, 8 April 2025
23:57 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC


Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/03/28X1.1
Last M-flare2025/04/08M1.5
Last geomagnetic storm2025/04/06Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
March 2025134.2 -20.4
April 2025144.7 +10.5
Last 30 days138.8 +1.3

This day in history*

Solar flares
12001X3.14
22002X1.17
32023M2.83
42002M2.34
52000M1.23
DstG
11990-281G4
21982-137G3
31957-124G3
41959-122G4
51960-81G3
*since 1994

Social networks