Issued: 2013 Feb 14 1218 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
14 Feb 2013 | 095 | 008 |
15 Feb 2013 | 092 | 001 |
16 Feb 2013 | 090 | 001 |
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next 48 hours, with a low probability of an isolated C flare from NOAA AR 1670. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 48 hours. On Feb.13, unsettled to active conditions were observed locally (Dourbes, K=4) from 18 to 21 UT and at planetary level (Kp=4) from 21 to 24 UT. This corresponds to a short period of Bz excursions close to -10 nT in the same time period. The source of such (modest) activity is unclear at the moment.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 021, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 093 |
10cm solar flux | 100 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 027 |
AK Wingst | 016 |
Estimated Ap | 012 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 025 - Based on 16 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
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