Viewing archive of Sunday, 17 March 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Mar 17 1136 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 17 Mar 2013 until 19 Mar 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
17 Mar 2013126026
18 Mar 2013124004
19 Mar 2013123004

Bulletin

Solar activity has been quiet, but is expected to be eruptive for the next 24 hours. The full halo CME of Friday March 15th has arrived since Sunday March 17th around 6 o'clock and geomagnetic activity has reached storm levels since 9:00 UT. The Solar wind speed jumped to around 700 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field Bz component is turbulent around -15 nT. Active to Storm geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next few hours, but will return to quiet levels after that. Proton levels of 10 MeV are dropping below the 10 pfu treshold again.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 073, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Mar 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux126
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number077 - Based on 11 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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