Issued: 2013 Apr 06 1209 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
06 Apr 2013 | 137 | 005 |
07 Apr 2013 | 138 | 010 |
08 Apr 2013 | 141 | 007 |
Solar activity has been active during the past 24 hours, with an M2.2 flare and two C flares. The M flare peaked at 17:48 UT on April 5, and was produced by new NOAA AR 11719 on the East limb. More C flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a good chance for an M flare, especially from NOAA AR 11719 and 11718. Solar wind speed as measured by ACE has been steadily increasing from about 260 km/s in the second part of April 5 till about 360 km/s around 12h UT on April 6. This could be due to the arrival of an expected coronal hole high speed stream. A further increase of the solar wind speed is possible on April 6. Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels (NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) during the past 24 hours. Quiet (K Dourbes < 4) conditions are predicted for April 6 to 8 with a slight chance for active periods due to the possible arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 074, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 116 |
10cm solar flux | 134 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 002 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 082 - Based on 11 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 | 1734 | 1748 | 1804 | ---- | M2.2 | 134 | 1719 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Moderate M1.57 flare
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 144.7 +10.5 |
Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |