Issued: 2013 Apr 25 1244 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Apr 2013 | 115 | 005 |
26 Apr 2013 | 114 | 004 |
27 Apr 2013 | 113 | 004 |
NOAA AR 1726 remains very dynamic. As it rotates over the solar west limb in the coming 24h, it could still produce a large flare before disappearing out of Earth view. The solar wind speed is still increasing as a result of the influence of a recurrent coronal hole. Nevertheless we expect that most of the resulting geomagnetic activity has passed. Hence we predict quiet geomagnetic conditions. A halo CME was observed by SOHO/LASCO first seen in the C2 field of view at April 23 00:48. However as this CME was determined to be back sided, we do not expect geomagnetic consequences.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 077, based on 17 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 115 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 029 |
AK Wingst | 024 |
Estimated Ap | 023 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 064 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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