Viewing archive of Tuesday, 18 June 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jun 18 1153 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Jun 2013 until 20 Jun 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Jun 2013130006
19 Jun 2013130005
20 Jun 2013130006

Bulletin

The background X-ray radiation level has increased to just below the C-level. Catania 6 (NOAA AR 1773) has grown a little. It has the potential to flare in the C-level. The knot of Catania sunspot groups 2, 3, 5, 7 (NOAA AR 1772, 1770, 1774 and 1775 respectively) and 8 has a large potential to flare in the C-level. There is a chance for M-flaring activity, below 50% however. A large coronal hole is visible on the east side of the central meridian in the northern hemisphere. The lower boundary extends to about 25°N. The fast solar wind emanating from this hole can possibly reach the earth in 3-4 days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 075, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Jun 2013

Wolf number Catania112
10cm solar flux124
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number078 - Based on 22 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

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