Viewing archive of Tuesday, 25 June 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jun 25 1239 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 25 Jun 2013 until 27 Jun 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
25 Jun 2013114010
26 Jun 2013112011
27 Jun 2013110011

Bulletin

Solar activity has been eruptive during the past 24 hours, featuring a C2.0 and a C3.0 flare, both from NOAA AR 11775. More C flares are probable within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M flare. A filament eruption took place near 30N 15-45E on June 24, around 23h UT. This material is not expected to travel to Earth. The solar wind is still in a coronal hole high speed stream regime, with solar wind speeds ranging between about 500 km/s and 570 km/s, while the IMF decreased from 6 to 4 nT. Solar wind speeds are expected to remain high, but continue their gradual decrease on June 25 and 26. Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to active levels (K Dourbes between 1 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2 and 4) during the past 24 hours. Quiet conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for June 25 to 27.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 050, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 24 Jun 2013

Wolf number Catania112
10cm solar flux121
AK Chambon La Forêt023
AK Wingst018
Estimated Ap018
Estimated international sunspot number071 - Based on 20 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Norilsk, Vorkuta

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (530.3 km/sec.)
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-5.06nT).

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