Viewing archive of Sunday, 22 September 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Sep 22 1315 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 22 Sep 2013 until 24 Sep 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
22 Sep 2013107011
23 Sep 2013107014
24 Sep 2013105007

Bulletin

Solar activity decreased even more, there was not C-class flares reported during last 24 hours. For out of nine numbered sunspot groups on the solar disc have beta configuration of its photospehric magnetic field, therefore the C-class flares are still possible. The solar wind speed is about 420 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 3 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are at the moment quiet. We expect quiet to possibly active geomagnetic conditions in the following 48 hours due to the arrival of a fast flow (associated with the low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere) and the CME associated with the prominence eruption from September 19.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 050, based on 05 stations.

Solar indices for 21 Sep 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux110
AK Chambon La Forêt///
AK Wingst011
Estimated Ap010
Estimated international sunspot number053 - Based on 15 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK

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